Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Jerry, located a few hundred miles southwest of Bermuda, on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Karen, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea, and on Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. 1. A weak area of low pressure centered near the north coast of the Yucatan peninsula is producing a small area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of the low is possible while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days before it reaches the northeast coast of Mexico late Friday or Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.