Isaac Update 11:00 p.m.

Isaac has changed very little throughout the day, and remains a fairly disorganized tropical Storm, with winds at 45 mph, moving W/NW at 16 mph, and it is in the Caribbean less than 1200 miles away from Southwest Florida.

The center right now is very undefined, and the system is still forecast to become a hurricane by the beginning of next week as it generally approaches Southwest Florida.  However, there is much uncertainty about this track.  We’ve noticed a general westerly shift in the past few official forecast tracks, keeping it a bit farther away from Southwest Florida.  The weekend will also bring a lot of Isaac questions.