Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Jul 21 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A weak area of low pressure just to the east of the Central Bahamas is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some slight development is possible over the next few days while the disturbance moves westward to west-northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.